Easy Come, Easy Go: How Melstar Information Technologies (NSE:MELSTAR) Shareholders Got Unlucky And Saw 83% Of Their Cash Evaporate – Simply Wall St

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It’s not possible to invest over long periods without making some bad investments. But you have a problem if you face massive losses more than once in a while. So spare a thought for the long term shareholders of Melstar Information Technologies Limited (NSE:MELSTAR); the share price is down a whopping 83% in the last three years. That would be a disturbing experience. And the ride hasn’t got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 71% lower in that time. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 32% in the last three months.

We really feel for shareholders in this scenario. It’s a good reminder of the importance of diversification, and it’s worth keeping in mind there’s more to life than money, anyway.

Check out our latest analysis for Melstar Information Technologies

Melstar Information Technologies recorded just ₹33,362,000 in revenue over the last twelve months, which isn’t really enough for us to consider it to have a proven product. We can’t help wondering why it’s publicly listed so early in its journey. Are venture capitalists not interested? So it seems that the investors more focused on would could be, than paying attention to the current revenues (or lack thereof). Investors will be hoping that Melstar Information Technologies can make progress and gain better traction for the business, before it runs low on cash.

As a general rule, if a company doesn’t have much revenue, and it loses money, then it is a high risk investment. There is almost always a chance they will need to raise more capital, and their progress – and share price – will dictate how dilutive that is to current holders. While some companies like this go on to deliver on their plan, making good money for shareholders, many end in painful losses and eventual de-listing. Some Melstar Information Technologies investors have already had a taste of the bitterness stocks like this can leave in the mouth.

Melstar Information Technologies had net debt of ₹216,365,000 when it last reported in December 2018, according to our data. That puts it in the highest risk category, according to our analysis. But since the share price has dived -45% per year, over 3 years, it looks like some investors think it’s time to abandon ship, so to speak. The image below shows how Melstar Information Technologies’s balance sheet has changed over time; if you want to see the precise values, simply click on the image.

NSEI:MELSTAR Historical Debt, April 15th 2019

It can be extremely risky to invest in a company that doesn’t even have revenue. There’s no way to know its value easily. What if insiders are ditching the stock hand over fist? It would bother me, that’s for sure. It only takes a moment for you to check whether we have identified any insider sales recently.

A Different Perspective

Melstar Information Technologies shareholders are down 71% for the year, but the market itself is up 0.9%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year’s performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 20% per year over five years. We realise that Buffett has said investors should ‘buy when there is blood on the streets’, but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality businesses. You could get a better understanding of Melstar Information Technologies’s growth by checking out this more detailed historical graph of earnings, revenue and cash flow.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on IN exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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