In order to justify the effort of selecting individual stocks, it’s worth striving to beat the returns from a market index fund. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. Unfortunately, that’s been the case for longer term Phibro Animal Health Corporation (NASDAQ:PAHC) shareholders, since the share price is down 48% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return of around 70%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 19% in the last three months.
So let’s have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business’ progress.
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company’s share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
Phibro Animal Health saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 6.0% per year, over the last three years. The share price decline of 20% is actually steeper than the EPS slippage. So it’s likely that the EPS decline has disappointed the market, leaving investors hesitant to buy.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
It’s probably worth noting we’ve seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. On the other hand, we think the revenue and earnings trends are much more meaningful measures of the business. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on Phibro Animal Health’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Phibro Animal Health the TSR over the last 3 years was -45%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there’s no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
Phibro Animal Health shareholders gained a total return of 22% during the year. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, that’s still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 1.1% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. It’s always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Phibro Animal Health better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We’ve spotted 4 warning signs for Phibro Animal Health you should be aware of, and 2 of them shouldn’t be ignored.
Phibro Animal Health is not the only stock insiders are buying. So take a peek at this free list of growing companies with insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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