Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE: MA) Has Not A Good News: Stock Could Fall Even -35.03%

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Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA) price is hovering lower on Wednesday, May 04, dropping -0.65% below its previous close.

A look at today’s price movement shows that the recent level at last check reads $357.79, with intraday deals fluctuating between $353.44 and $363.44. The company’s 5Y monthly beta was ticking 1.07 while its P/E ratio in the trailing 12-month period read 40.84. Taking into account the 52-week price action we note that the stock hit a 52-week high of $399.92 and 52-week low of $305.61. The stock subtracted -1.70% on its value in the past month.

Mastercard Incorporated, which has a market valuation of $364.60 billion, is expected to release its quarterly earnings report Apr 27, 2022 – May 02, 2022. The company stock has a Forward Dividend ratio of 1.96, while the dividend yield is 0.55%. It is understandable that investor optimism is growing ahead of the company’s current quarter results. Analysts tracking MA have forecast the quarterly EPS to grow by 2.21 per share this quarter, while the same analysts predict the annual EPS to hit $8.27 for the year 2022 and up to $10.53 for 2022. In this case, analysts estimate an annual EPS growth of 28.60% for the year and 27.30% for the next year.

On average, analysts have forecast the company’s revenue for the quarter will hit $5.17 billion, with the likely lows of $4.98 billion and highs of $5.28 billion. The average estimate suggests sales growth for the quarter will likely rise by 25.40% when compared to those recorded in the same quarter in the last financial year. Staying with the analyst view, there is a consensus estimate of $18.84 billion for the company’s annual revenue in 2021. Per this projection, the revenue is forecast to grow 23.10% above that which the company brought in 2021.

Revisions to the company’s EPS highlights a short term direction of a stock’s price movement, which in the last 7 days came up with 1 upward and no downward reviews. On the technical perspective front, indicators give MA a short term outlook of 50% Buy on average. Looking at the stock’s medium term indicators we note that it is averaging as a 50% Sell, while an average of long term indicators are currently assigning the stock as 50% Buy.

Here is a look at the average analyst rating for the stock as represented on a scale of 1.00 to 5.00, with the extremes of 1.00 and 5.00 suggesting the stock is strong buy or strong sell respectively. Specifically, 36 analysts have assigned MA a recommendation rating as follows: 3 rate it as a Hold; 24 advise Buy while 8 analyst(s) assign an Overweight rating. 0 analyst(s) have tagged the Mastercard Incorporated (MA) stock as Underweight, with 1 recommending Sell. In general, analysts have rated the stock Overweight, a scenario likely to bolster investors out for an opportunity to add to their holdings of the company’s shares.

If we dive deeper into the stock’s performance we see the positive picture represented by the PEG ratio, currently standing at 1.66. The overview shows that MA’s price is at present -0.51% off the SMA20 and 1.28% from the SMA50. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) metric on the 14-day timeframe is pointing at 49.11, with weekly volatility standing at 3.95%. The indicator jumps to 2.77% when calculated based on the past 30 days. Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA)’s beta value is holding at 1.02, while the average true range (ATR) indicator is currently reading 12.10. Considering analysts have assigned the stock a price target range of $357.00-$480.00 as the low and high respectively, we find the trailing 12-month average consensus price target to be $435.27. Based on this estimate, we see that today’s price at last check is roughly -0.43% off the estimated low and -35.03% off the forecast high. Investors will no doubt be excited to see the share price fall to $440.00, which is the median consensus price, and at that level MA would be -23.78% from recent price.

Turning out attention to how the Mastercard Incorporated stock has performed in comparison to its peers in the industry, here’s what we find: MA’s stock is -0.65% on the day and -4.82% in the past 12 months, while JPMorgan Chase & Co. (JPM) traded 1.03% in the latest session and is positioned -20.87% down on its price 12 months ago. Another comparison is with Visa Inc. (V) whose stock price is down -0.84% in the current trading session, and has flourished -10.12% over the past year. Also, Bank of America Corporation (BAC) is currently showing up trend of 1.37% while its price kept floating at -9.44% over the past year. As for Mastercard Incorporated, the P/E ratio stands at 40.84 higher than that of JPMorgan Chase & Co.’s at 9.13 and Visa Inc.’s 39.37. Elsewhere in the market, the S&P 500 Index has stumbled -0.33% in today’s early trading, with the Dow Jones Industrial also seeing a positive session on the day with 0.12%.

An analysis of the Mastercard Incorporated (NYSE:MA) stock in terms of its daily trading volume indicates that the 3-month average is 4.07 million. However, this figure increases on the past 10-day timeline to an average of 4.03 million.

Current records show that the company has 977.00M in outstanding shares. The insiders’ percentage holdings are 10.80% of outstanding shares while the percentage share held by institutions stands at 77.60%. The stats also highlight that short interest as of Feb 14, 2022, stood at 5.95 million shares, which puts the short ratio at the time at 1.03. From this we can glean that short interest is 0.61% of company’s current outstanding shares. Notably, we see that shares short in February fall slightly given the previous month’s figure stood at 6.34 million. But the -0.43% downside, will likely reignite investor interest given the prospect of it rallying even higher.