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This will mark Nvidia’s first time reporting as a Dow Jones constituent, with the semiconductor stock joining the 30-stock index back on November 8.
NVDA shares are well known for their post-earnings volatility, which could have an impact on the price-weighted Dow. Most recently, the stock sank more than 6% in August after its fiscal Q2 results and jumped 9% in May following its fiscal Q1 report.
However, as Dan Burrows, senior investing writer at Kiplinger.com, explains in his feature, “Nvidia Stock Is Joining the Dow. Is It Time to Buy?,” NVDA and its $3.6 trillion market valuation will likely have a larger impact on the cap-weighted S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.
Indeed, based on its current share price of roughly $150, “NVDA stock will be as important to the DJIA as, roughly, 3M (MMM),” he writes.
– Karee Venema
Increased AI spending will continue to benefit Nvidia, says UBS
UBS Global Research analyst Timothy Arcuri lifted his price target on Nvidia on November 10, to $185 from $150 – representing implied upside of more than 25% to current levels.
Arcuri expects the chipmaker to report strong results and guidance this time around, though he anticipates a decline in gross margin, to 73% from 75.1% in Q2.
The analyst believes that capital expenditures from large-scale data centers will continue to improve and he expects the gap between incremental hyperscaler spending and Nvidia’s incremental data center revenue to close over the next 12 months.
“On top of this, sovereign AI represents a major demand vector for NVDA (already worth more than $10 billion in calendar year 2024) with each of the large sovereigns (particularly in the Middle East) looking to us like their spending could approach that of a big U.S. hyperscaler over the next few years,” Arcuri adds. India, for one, unveiled a $1.2 billion budget for AI projects in March.
– Karee Venema
Karee Venema
I am the senior investing editor at Kiplinger.com, having joined the publication in April 2021. I have over a decade of experience writing about the stock market and have covered corporate earnings reports and stock reactions over that time frame. In addition to weekly updates of the Kiplinger Earnings Calendar, I oversee a wide range of investing coverage, including content focused on equities, fixed income, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), commodities, currencies, macroeconomics and more.
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