Why S&P 500 forecasts for 2025 may miss the mark

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The typical Wall Street strategist has taken the safe option and picked 2025 to be an ‘average’ year, writes Mark Lister. Photo / 123rf

KEY FACTS

  • Most Wall Street forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025 predict a 9-12% gain.
  • Historically, annual returns rarely match the long-term average of 9.8%, showing significant variability.
  • The likelihood of an “average” year is slim; investors should focus on long-term gains.

Over the past month or two the Wall Street gurus have firmed up their forecasts for where the S&P 500 will finish 2025.

The majority have a year-end estimate of between 6400 or 6600, which implies a gain of 9-12% this year.

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