Bipartisan Social Security Tax Proposals: Every bill that could change your benefits for next year

Social Security beneficiaries are heading toward 2027 with several potential changes to keep an eye on, although the proposals now being discussed would affect the program in very different ways.One of the most prominent ideas involves changing the amount of wages subject to Social Security payroll taxes. Another proposal would increase benefits for a limited period, while other legislation seeks changes to the program’s finances or eligibility rules.Social Security: When is COLA announced, how is it determined and how much can people expect?M.C.The distinction is important because a proposal, a bill and a change in current law are not the same thing. Congress would have to approve legislation and the president would have to sign it before a proposal became law.The issue has become increasingly urgent because Social Security’s latest projections show the program’s retirement trust fund reserves are expected to be depleted in 2033. Without legislative action, the system would still collect payroll taxes, but those revenues would be insufficient to pay scheduled benefits in full.CNBC currently reports that the 2026 trustees’ projection would leave the program able to pay about 77% of scheduled benefits after reserves are exhausted.The bipartisan push to tax more high-income wagesThe proposal attracting significant attention from both parties would remove the current Social Security payroll-tax ceiling.In 2026, the taxable maximum is $184,500. Employees and employers each generally pay a 6.2% Social Security payroll tax, but wages above that threshold are not subject to the Social Security portion of the payroll tax.Sens. Elizabeth Warren, Democrat of Massachusetts, and Bernie Moreno, Republican of Ohio, are backing a bipartisan approach that would subject high earners’ wages above the existing ceiling to Social Security taxes.FinanceBuzz reports that the senators estimate their approach could generate roughly $3 trillion in additional revenue over 10 years.The proposal would not directly increase the Social Security payroll tax for workers earning below $184,500. FinanceBuzz estimates that about 94% of workers fall below the current taxable maximum.For someone earning substantially more, however, the difference could be considerable. FinanceBuzz gives the example of a worker earning $1 million annually: under the current system, the employee’s Social Security payroll tax is capped, while under the proposed approach the tax would continue to apply to wages above the existing limit.An important feature of the proposal is that the additional taxed earnings would not necessarily produce proportionally larger retirement benefits. FinanceBuzz reports that the concept is designed primarily to raise additional Social Security revenue.The proposal is still not a change to current law. FinanceBuzz reported on September 16 that the legislation was still being drafted and had not yet been formally introduced as a bill.Other Social Security legislation could increase benefitsThe payroll-tax debate is not the only potential change beneficiaries should know about.The Social Security 2100 Act has been proposed as a way to make the benefit formula more generous. Under the version discussed by FinanceBuzz, the proposal would temporarily increase the percentage applied to the first portion of average indexed monthly earnings from 90% to 93%.That would translate into an increase of roughly 2% in the overall benefit calculation, rather than a simple 3% increase in every monthly check.The proposed enhancement would apply to benefits paid from 2027 through 2036 and could cover both existing beneficiaries and people who begin collecting Social Security during that period.For illustration, FinanceBuzz calculated that someone receiving $2,000 a month could see approximately $40 more under such an increase. The exact effect would depend on an individual’s benefit calculation.That proposal would be separate from the annual cost-of-living adjustment. The 2027 COLA has not yet been finalized, with the official figure scheduled to be announced in October. Current estimates have put the increase around the mid-3% range.There are also other Social Security proposals under consideration. The Social Security Administration maintains a list of legislation and policy proposals that have been analyzed for their potential effect on the program’s finances.Its current list includes the bipartisan We Can’t Wait Act of 2026, introduced by Sens. Susan Collins and Maggie Hassan, as well as other proposals dealing with Social Security and SSI.Another area of debate involves taxation of Social Security benefits themselves. CNBC reported that Sen. Ruben Gallego’s You Earned It, You Keep It Act would eliminate federal taxation of Social Security benefits while raising payroll taxes on earnings above $250,000.Republican senators Tommy Tuberville and Tim Sheehy have separately introduced the Senior Citizens Tax Elimination Act, which also addresses federal taxation of Social Security benefits.The proposals therefore point in different directions. Some would increase revenue by asking higher earners to contribute more, while others would reduce taxes on benefits or increase payments.For people planning around Social Security in 2027, the key point is that none of these proposals should currently be treated as guaranteed changes to next year’s checks.The 2027 COLA is still awaiting its official announcement, while the legislative proposals remain subject to congressional negotiations, amendments and votes.Until legislation becomes law, beneficiaries should continue using their existing Social Security statement and current benefit rules when planning their income.The eventual package Congress considers could look substantially different from any individual proposal now being discussed.